Categories

About us

• We’ve Got Mail! (2) – February 28, 2015
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008
• How we work – January 1, 2008
• How to take advantage of Strategy@Risks services – January 1, 2008
• Who we are – January 1, 2008
• Projects we have done – January 1, 2008
• Understanding risk, creating value – January 1, 2008

Balance sheet and P&L simulation

• The role of events in simulation modeling – December 1, 2013
• Budgeting Revisited – June 5, 2012
• M&A: When two plus two is five or three or … – December 14, 2011
• Introduction to Simulation Models – December 9, 2011
• Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios – December 1, 2011
• Plans based on average assumptions …… – March 1, 2011
• Working Capital and the Balance Sheet – December 1, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Big Issues Needs Big Tools – November 24, 2010
• Working Capital Strategy – October 18, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• The Value of Information – March 15, 2010
• Top Ten Concerns of CFO’s – May 2009 – June 11, 2009
• The advantages of simulation modelling – September 1, 2008
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008

Balance sheet simulation

• Simulation of balance sheet risk – September 20, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• M&A: When two plus two is five or three or … – December 14, 2011
• Working Capital and the Balance Sheet – December 1, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Working Capital Strategy – October 18, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• The Case of Enterprise Risk Management – April 19, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010
• The Probability of Bankruptcy – March 30, 2009
• Predicting Bankruptcy – March 20, 2009
• The Risk of Bankruptcy – March 16, 2009
• The weighted average cost of capital – September 8, 2008

Budgeting

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• Budgeting Revisited – June 5, 2012
• Budgeting – February 22, 2009

Corporate risk analysis

• Risk Appetite and the Virtues of the Board – October 9, 2013
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty – April 27, 2012
• “How can you be better than us understand our business risk?” – March 19, 2012
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin – July 24, 2011
• Plans based on average assumptions …… – March 1, 2011
• Planning under Uncertainty – December 7, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• The Value of Information – March 15, 2010
• When in doubt, develop the situation – July 1, 2009
• Top Ten Concerns of CFO’s – May 2009 – June 11, 2009
• The fallacies of Scenario analysis – May 4, 2009
• Corporate Risk Analysis – February 3, 2009
• Real options – February 16, 2008
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008
• How we work – January 1, 2008

Corporate Strategy

• Risk Appetite and the Virtues of the Board – October 9, 2013
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• M&A: When two plus two is five or three or … – December 14, 2011
• You only live once – August 2, 2011
• Planning under Uncertainty – December 7, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• Selecting Strategy – July 22, 2009
• When in doubt, develop the situation – July 1, 2009
• The Value of Quality Management – September 4, 2008
• The Challenge – September 1, 2008
• Uncertainty – lack of information – September 1, 2008
• Risk – Exposure to Gain and Loss – September 1, 2008
• Decisions – Criteria for selection – September 1, 2008
• The advantages of simulation modelling – September 1, 2008
• Risk and Monte Carlo simulation – February 22, 2008
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008
• How we work – January 1, 2008

Costs

• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010

Currency

• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010

Decision making

• Project Management under Uncertainty – August 1, 2014
• The role of events in simulation modeling – December 1, 2013
• Risk Appetite and the Virtues of the Board – October 9, 2013
• The Most Costly Excel Error Ever? – April 22, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you? – August 22, 2012
• “How can you be better than us understand our business risk?” – March 19, 2012
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• M&A: When two plus two is five or three or … – December 14, 2011
• Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios – December 1, 2011
• You only live once – August 2, 2011
• The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit – March 3, 2011
• Planning under Uncertainty – December 7, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models – August 2, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• The Case of Enterprise Risk Management – April 19, 2010
• Public Works Projects – September 3, 2009
• Selecting Strategy – July 22, 2009
• The Risk of Spreadsheet Errors – March 3, 2009
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008

Forecasting

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• The role of events in simulation modeling – December 1, 2013
• Distinguish between events and estimates – October 7, 2013
• The Most Costly Excel Error Ever? – April 22, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you? – August 22, 2012
• Budgeting Revisited – June 5, 2012
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting – November 11, 2009
• Budgeting – February 22, 2009
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008

Hedging

• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Corn and ethanol futures hedge ratios – December 1, 2011
• The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin – July 24, 2011

Inflation

• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010

Interest rates

• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010

Investments

• You only live once – August 2, 2011
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Investment analysis – February 15, 2009
• Real options – February 16, 2008

Macro risk

• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010

Mergers & Acquisition

• M&A: When two plus two is five or three or … – December 14, 2011
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• What is the correct company value? – February 15, 2009
• The Probability of Gain and Loss – February 11, 2009
• Risk, price and value – February 16, 2008

Modeling

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• The role of events in simulation modeling – December 1, 2013
• Distinguish between events and estimates – October 7, 2013
• The risk of planes crashing due to volcanic ash – September 23, 2013
• The Most Costly Excel Error Ever? – April 22, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Budgeting Revisited – June 5, 2012
• “How can you be better than us understand our business risk?” – March 19, 2012
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• Introduction to Simulation Models – December 9, 2011
• Moddeling World 2011 – June 20, 2011
• The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit – March 3, 2011
• Plans based on average assumptions …… – March 1, 2011
• Working Capital and the Balance Sheet – December 1, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Working Capital Strategy – October 18, 2010
• Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models – August 2, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• The Case of Enterprise Risk Management – April 19, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010
• Public Works Projects – September 3, 2009
• Selecting Strategy – July 22, 2009
• The Risk of Spreadsheet Errors – March 3, 2009
• What we do; Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics – January 1, 2008

Operations

• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you? – August 22, 2012
• You only live once – August 2, 2011
• The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin – July 24, 2011
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• The Value of Information – March 15, 2010
• Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting – November 11, 2009
• Airport Simulation – February 24, 2009
• Real options – February 16, 2008

Other topics

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• The implementation of the Norwegian Governmental Project Risk Assessment scheme – December 1, 2014
• Project Management under Uncertainty – August 1, 2014
• Risk Appetite and the Virtues of the Board – October 9, 2013
• The Most Costly Excel Error Ever? – April 22, 2013
• We’ve Got Mail ! – April 5, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty – April 27, 2012
• “How can you be better than us understand our business risk?” – March 19, 2012
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• Introduction to Simulation Models – December 9, 2011
• The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit – March 3, 2011
• Plans based on average assumptions …… – March 1, 2011
• Planning under Uncertainty – December 7, 2010
• Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models – August 2, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• Credit Risk – December 29, 2009
• Perception of Risk – November 2, 2009
• Where do you go from risk mapping? – October 19, 2009
• Public Works Projects – September 3, 2009
• Two letters – July 6, 2009
• The fallacies of Scenario analysis – May 4, 2009
• The Risk of Spreadsheet Errors – March 3, 2009
• How we work – January 1, 2008

P&L simulation

• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Stochastic Balance Simulation – May 24, 2010
• The Case of Enterprise Risk Management – April 19, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• The Probability of Bankruptcy – March 30, 2009
• Predicting Bankruptcy – March 20, 2009
• The Risk of Bankruptcy – March 16, 2009

Project risk

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• The implementation of the Norwegian Governmental Project Risk Assessment scheme – December 1, 2014
• Project Management under Uncertainty – August 1, 2014

Revenue

• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• Concession Revenue Modelling and Forecasting – November 11, 2009

Sales

• Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty – April 27, 2012
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010

Simulation modeling

• The Estimated Project Cost Distributions and the Final Project Cost – February 8, 2015
• The implementation of the Norwegian Governmental Project Risk Assessment scheme – December 1, 2014
• Project Management under Uncertainty – August 1, 2014

Strategic choices

• Risk tolerance – September 8, 2013
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you? – August 22, 2012
• The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin – July 24, 2011
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Selecting Strategy – July 22, 2009
• When in doubt, develop the situation – July 1, 2009
• Valuation as a strategic tool – April 24, 2009
• Fish farming – February 21, 2009

Translation risk

• Hedging the balance sheet – September 19, 2013

Uncertainty

• The implementation of the Norwegian Governmental Project Risk Assessment scheme – December 1, 2014
• Project Management under Uncertainty – August 1, 2014
• Distinguish between events and estimates – October 7, 2013
• Working Capital Strategy Revisited – November 27, 2012
• Inventory management – Stochastic supply – September 23, 2012
• Inventory management – Some effects of risk pooling – September 13, 2012
• Inventory Management: Is profit maximization right for you? – August 22, 2012
• Budgeting Revisited – June 5, 2012
• Forecasting sales and forecasting uncertainty – April 27, 2012
• “How can you be better than us understand our business risk?” – March 19, 2012
• Be prepared for a bumpy ride – March 13, 2012
• You only live once – August 2, 2011
• The probability distribution of the bioethanol crush margin – July 24, 2011
• Moddeling World 2011 – June 20, 2011
• The tool that would improve everybody’s toolkit – March 3, 2011
• Plans based on average assumptions …… – March 1, 2011
• Planning under Uncertainty – December 7, 2010
• Uncertainty modeling – November 24, 2010
• Working Capital Strategy – October 18, 2010
• Solving Uncertainty in Simulation Models – August 2, 2010
• The Uncertainty in Forecasting Airport Pax – April 22, 2010
• The Case of Enterprise Risk Management – April 19, 2010
• A short presentation of S@R – April 3, 2010
• WACC, Uncertainty and Infrastructure Regulation – February 8, 2010
• Perception of Risk – November 2, 2009
• Where do you go from risk mapping? – October 19, 2009
• Public Works Projects – September 3, 2009
• Selecting Strategy – July 22, 2009
• Budgeting – February 22, 2009